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World War 3 - Progression






Possible Nuclear Blast Inside Russia

Saturday, September 21, 2024


While Ukraine claims that they blew up a major ammunition storage facility, pronouncing that this was a large-scale drone attack on Russia, our sources are saying this was an attack using British long-range missiles. Moreover, what was there included nuclear weapons that triggered an earthquake-sized blast in the Tver region. The explosion was heard even 240 miles west of Moscow. That was not conventional ammunition. NASA satellites picked up intense heat sources, which strongly suggests that this included nuclear weapons that set off earthquake monitoring stations.

Zelenskiy hailed the outcome of the attack that would not have been possible without American satellite targeting. Zelensky is flying to the US for the UN meeting next week and is soliciting long-range missiles using US satellite targeting to destroy Russia, calling it his "Victory Plan."

 

I have stressed that if Putin does not take this seriously, he will be overthrown by October 15th, and his replacement will launch total retaliation. The Neocons, including NATO, are desperate to create World War III before the US elections.

 

 

















Middle East Armageddon Starts September?

Monday, August 26, 2024 By: Martin Armstrong


We are now in the ninth 8.6-year cycle from British Manada 1948.8. The peak of this wave was precisely November 24th, 2021. Interestingly, November 24th was the first time any peace agreement/defense agreement was signed between Israel and any Arab nation. In Rabat, Morocco, Minister of Defense Benny Gantz and his Moroccan counterpart, Abdellatif Loudiyi, signed a memorandum of understanding on defense between Israel and Morocco. This agreement formalized defense ties and cooperation between the two countries. Within a matter of weeks, Hamas began its attack on Israel.

On January 1st, 2022, as this cycle turned sharply down, two rockets fired from Gaza exploded off the coast, one close to Tel Aviv and the second near Palmachim; the Israeli Air Force responded with strikes on Hamas targets in Gaza and tanks fire at Hamas military posts near Gaza's border with Israel. This conflict is far more than merely territory. There is a deep divide that is ancient and will not be healed with a peace agreement between leaders.


To the Jews and Christians, this is known as the Temple Mount, while the Muslims call it the Dome of the Rock. It contains a huge rock that the Jewish tradition says is that this is where Abraham was told to sacrifice his son. To the Muslims, the rock is the spot from which the Prophet Muhammad was taken up into heaven for an encounter with God (an event known as the Miʿrāj). Thus, it is the same rock, symbolizing the clash between these religions. It was truly an awe-inspiring place.


Nonetheless, there are both Jews and Christians who believe that destroying the Dome of the Rock and rebuilding the Temple will usher in Armageddon. The problem is that these zealot groups believe that if they become terrorists to achieve that goal, they can fulfill prophecy. The "Third Temple" refers to this idea it would succeed in bringing about scripture. Solomon's Temple had been destroyed during the Babylonian siege of Jerusalem in c. 587 BC. The Second Temple was destroyed during the Roman siege of Jerusalem in 70AD when some Jews thought they could become independent of Rome when Nero died in 68BC. That was a grave mistake, for then Emperor Vespasian had no choice but to crush this Jewish rebellion, or else all the other provinces would have followed, and the empire would have collapsed.

The notion of and desire for the Third Temple is sacred in Orthodox Judaism. It would be the most holy place of worship for Jews. The Hebrew Bible tells us that Jewish prophets called for its construction before or in tandem with the Messianic Age. However, the construction of the Third Temple also plays a major role in some interpretations of Christian beliefs of the End Times. The question remains: does this event happen naturally, or is it deliberately brought on by people trying to make it happen? To these zealot Christians, the destruction of the Dome of the Rock would then usher in Armageddon from the Revelations. They believe they can force this event, which they call the Second Coming. To some orthodox Jews, this would bring forth the Messiah.


According to the Book of Revelation in the New Testament of the Christian Bible, Armageddon is the prophesied location of a gathering of armies for a battle during the end-of-the-world scenario, interpreted as either a literal or a symbolic location. In Islamic theology, Armageddon is also mentioned in Hadith as the Greatest Armageddon or Al-Malhama Al-Kubra (the great battle). So, here we have all three religions asserting the exact end times. The word Armageddon is actually a corruption of the Hebrew Har Megiddo and means literally "the mount of Megiddo." During the past 4000 years, at least 34 bloody conflicts have been fought at the ancient Megiddo site and adjacent Jezreel Valley areas. 


This is a very flat area suitable for grand battles since it is a 141-square-mile triangle in the north-central area of Israel. Today, the Jezreel Valley is Israel’s breadbasket, which has fertile fields and is enclosed by rolling mountains. I drove through this area to see it for myself.

 


Megiddo is a fascinating site of twenty cities constructed directly on top of one another. It has been inhabited continuously from 3000 to 300 BC and lies at a strategic junction of north-south and east-west roads. Whoever had control of Megiddo had control of one of the major trade routes of antiquity. There were no coins produced by Egypt until the Ptolemy and the conquest by Alexander the Great. Likewise, there was no coinage of Judah. This is a reproduction of a Jasper Seal of Shema discovered at Megiddo in 1903.

Many battles have been fought at Megiddo. One great Battle of Megiddo occurred in 609 BC when Pharaoh Necho II of Egypt joined his allies, involving the Neo-Assyrians and the Neo-Babylonians. This required passing through territory controlled by the Kingdom of Judah. The Judaean king, Josiah, refused to let the Egyptians pass. The Judaean forces battled the Egyptians at Megiddo, resulting in Josiah’s death, and his kingdom then became a vassal state under Egypt. The battle is recorded in the Hebrew Bible, the Greek 1 Esdras, and the writings of Jewish historian Josephus. There is always a chance of losing whenever there is war. Our Neocons never consider what if they are wrong. This is how the arrogant always fall. Unfortunately, the Democrats have sold their souls to the Neocons, and they are taking us with them.

There remains considerable debate about whether this is literally or symbolically a Great Battle to be fought on the plane of Armageddon, overlooked by Megiddo, which made sense in those days since it was a major link between the East and West, or are we looking at that as just symbolic of the world ar large.

Armageddon is a corruption of the Hebrew Har Megiddo and means literally "the mount of Megiddo." During the past 4000 years, at least 34 bloody conflicts have already been fought at the ancient site of Megiddo and adjacent areas of the Jezreel Valley. 

The biggest exchange of fire yet between Israel and Hizbullah, a powerful Lebanese militia backed by Iran, is reviving fears of a regional war that could draw in America. On August 25th, Israeli warplanes bombed dozens of Hizbullah’s missile-launch sites in southern Lebanon, and Hizbullah fired at least 200 rockets and drones toward northern Israel. Three people were reported dead in Lebanon and one in Israel. There is no way this fighting is over. 

The Neocons have sent two American aircraft carrier strike groups and other forces while they insist that they are making diplomatic efforts to secure a ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. When the Neocons are threatening wars on four fronts simultaneously, we must remember that American military resources, though vast, are limited. The deployments to the Middle East mean that there is currently no American carrier in the western Pacific, which America insists is its most important military theatre concerning Taiwan. The USS Theodore Roosevelt , now joined by the USS Abraham Lincoln , both sailed to the Middle East from Asia. The next carrier destined for Asia, the USS Ronald Reagan , may take weeks to get there. China has noticed the absence of these two ships. 

The Neocons in the Biden Administration have found it impossible to turn away from the Middle East, but the Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, is Jewish, and some in the Middle East question his impartiality. The Neocons are spread thin despite the globe-spanning network of partners. With those partnerships also comes obligations to protect friends and allies in every corner of the world. The Neocons have usurped the Biden administration to wage war against their most hated rival - Russia. They have used Ukraine merely as a vanguard and they could care less about if any Ukrainian survives as long as they weaken Russia for a future NATO kill raid.

Exploiting Ukraine against Russia has weakened America and its allies while diverting their attention from Hamas and the rest of Iran’s goals, not to mention China’s leader, Xi Jinping, who has been selling off US debt knowing that war is COMING and has concentrated on building China’s military strength in Asia. The Neocons have bitten off more than they can chew. However, pride will never allow them to admit a mistake.


An undiscussed fact is that the United States is not so dependent on Middle East energy. However, China is far more dependent than America on the flow of oil from the Gulf and trade with Europe through the Suez Canal. Messing with the Middle East economically threatens China's National Security. It also further drove China into the arms of Russia, which President Nixon worked hard to separate.

Meanwhile, it is American and other Western warships that work to keep those sea lanes open. The Houthis, another proxy war of Iran’s in Yemen, have been attacking ships transiting the Bab al-Mandab, the strait between the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean. American and British efforts to bomb their missile and drone launching points have not been successful. As things stand, the Houthis allow Chinese ships to sail through the Red Sea unmolested. Other vessels must either take the long route around southern Africa or risk attack. The Sounion, a Greek-flagged oil tanker, took the risk and was hit by the Houthis in the Red Sea on August 21st.\

Our Neocons have brought us to a crisis. They have instigated confrontation and rejected world peace on every front from China, Korea, Russia, and Iran. They will seek Congress to sharply increase defense spending from roughly 3.4% of historically low GDP to something closer to cold-war levels of 10-15%. There is no way the Neocons can deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan while they are using mercenaries to deliberately create a confrontation allowing then and Ukraine to directly invade Russia. There is no possible way the Neocons can forsake Israel since there is way too much lobbying in Congress. 


August is a DOUBLE Directional Change, and September is a Panic Cycle and an important turning point for the Israeli share market. The Yearly Array targets 2026 which we will discuss at te November WEC. This aligns with the model we presented at the start of this piece.

Our Neocons have brought us to a critical crossroads with their sheer stupidity of threatening war, thinking merely because they have usurped the American foreign policy, they can scare the world into submission. NEVER in all my years have I witnessed such absolute stupidity in American policy. These are personal hatreds, and they have usurped American policy for personal vendettas. They are taking the entire West down with them. I wish I were wrong, and this was just my opinion. RFK's family are horrible idiots. They vote for labels and are ignorant of any facts. If I were RFK, I would ensure I did not leave anything, not even their dog. This is our problem, and the Neocons are counting on the stupidity of people to vote for Kamala and never look too closely at what they are doing.

Are the Neocons trying to create Armageddon? Or are they just stupid people filled with hatred?

 










The Brewing Crisis

SATURDAY, JULY 20, 2024 BY: M. ARMSTRONG


The failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump and his nomination, combined with the polls and our model, which every major entity looks at - Trust me. This lethal combination has given me concern that not just the American Neocons, which were probably behind the assassination attempt, but especially NATO may attempt at least a false flag in August/September. NATO will step up its rhetoric about how Russia is about to attack Europe because they fear Trump, who threatened to defund them. These people took their best shot to try to eliminate the greatest threat to their continued war agenda.


They control the press, and I can tell you that Putin has made many attempts at peace, and they are always rejected. They sent Boris Johnson to instruct Zelensky that he was NOT ALLOWED to accept any peace deal. They needed World War III for the plain reason that they knew the financial system was collapsing, and they would NEVER accept responsibility, fearing they would be dragged out and hanged by a revolutionary mob. This war is their only way out of this Marxist nightmare from their perspective. When communism fell in Russia, those in power were thrown out. They will not relinquish that power as the Russian Communists did. Moreover, the Communists staged a coup against Gorbachev, and what we have just seen is the attempt to assassinate Trump, which was the same type of power-driven event to retain power.


The Press MUST keep demonizing Putin and constantly put out the lie that Putin invaded "unprovoked" after they directed the interim government to start the civil war. To make sure Putin would invade, Zelensky stood up the day before and said that Ukraine would rearm with nuclear weapons targeting Russia. The Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 was all about Russia putting nukes in Cuba 60 miles from the USA. They fear Trump, who is ant-war, and see this as their last chance to destroy Russia. 


 

This entire affair centers on debt. It is part of the reason they want CBDCs to eliminate cash and, thus, the underground economy. They think that will increase tax revenues by 35%+. War is the great cleanser of debt. Governments get to reorganize and then default on the debt of the previous. Spain is a serial defaulter, as is France, which is in its 5th republic. With every change in government, they default on the debts of the previous. That is why they desperately needed this war rather than reorganize, which meant they would lose power and risk a revolution.


Unfortunately, we are looking at a significant change in government debt from 2024. Forecasting a single market is always vulnerable to error because the wildcard always comes from the outside. This is the advantage of Socrates, where we can look across a broad range of markets and see the shifts in trends globally. Here, you can see that we have a major turning point in 2024, not just in French debt but in Europe. We then have a 3-year trend into 2027, and I fear this will be war.


They need to stage something desperately. Former NATO Chief Lord Roberstons of Britain is coming out with the same BS - Russia will never use Nukes because the radiation might blow back on them, and he has openly come out and proclaimed we need to defeat Russia. This is a world war. He said the West should "take the gloves off" with Putin and Russia will never use nukes, so let's go and destroy Russia as if Putin will allow that, fall to his knees, and plead for his life. 

The West is the aggressor here because they know the financial system is collapsing, and they have at least listened to me for all these years that DEFAULT and the collapse of empires that rely on debt come when they cannot sell the new debt to pay off the old. Interest rates ALWAYS rise in war. You must be insane to buy any long-term debt. They know a revolution is brewing, for they have generally required pension funds to be 70%+ in government debt throughout Europe. US Social Security is 100% government debt. They know a default means revolution. They need war desperately, and if they reduce the population by 50% - fantastic, for they will save the planet by reducing the vermin like us and escape from pensions.

My concern is that the rhetoric I have heard since the assassination of Trump failed is that they need plan B, fearing a Trump Victory. They need war ASAP and have stepped up the calls to destroy Russia. They are throwing the world at risk because they only care about themselves. If I were Putin, China, North Korea, and Iran, I would coordinate attacks simultaneously, and there is NO WAY the West will withstand this nonsense. These people are idiots and dangerous ones at that.


I would start by nuking Kiev. Drop leaflets like the US did in Japan and give the people 24 hours to leave town. Ukrainians are fools. Nobody cares about them. This is only to destroy Russia. If the people of the West do not overthrow their warlords, then it is full-blown World War III.





















The Real Forecast for Europe et al

TUESDAY, JUNE 11, 2024 BY


Ukraine shot down a Russian spy plane, Ukrainian Air Force Commander Mykola Oleshchuk said in a post on Telegram. In Russia, they see the West as escalating the war but in a way to knock out Russia's early warning system so NATO can send in nukes. Now, Russia's planes that monitor the border are targets. Taking out that radar system has NOTHING to do with Ukraine. That was to protect Russia just as we have NORAD to monitor a potential attack.

The Russian plane was brought down between the Russian cities of Yeysk and Krasnodar, over the east coast of the Sea of Azov, inside Russia. In a joint operation by the Air Force and the Defense Intelligence Directorate (GUR), they are pounding their chest, which is not good. Some in Russia are looking at this utter hatred toward them and the refusal of the West to allow any peace negotiations as a prelude to NATO invading Russia. The Western Media keeps proclaiming that Russia wants to invade all of Europe. Thus, they are spinning this as SELF-DEFENSE to act FIRST because they know Russia intends to invade sometime.

On top of this, Ukraine is parking its US F-16 fighter jets in Romania and Poland and will fly from there inside Russia. This is begging Russia to attack NATO countries so they can pretend Russia is the aggressor. These people want World War III. They know they have a Sovereign Debt Crisis, and this borrowing endlessly year after year to support Socialism is no longer sustainable. They are planning to invade Russia to (1) use war as an excuse to default and (2) to strip Russia of its wealth to reconstitute a new world order that Putin refuses to join.

Add to this, Ukraine has been sinking Russian ships in the Black Sea they could NEVER do without US satellite intelligence. This is effectively WWIII, and it is a matter of time before Russia will be forced to respond, and they will declare it was, of course, unprovoked. The people we have orchestrating this are just as evil as the people they claim are in Russia. As they say - it takes one to know one.


 

The high in the Euro vs the Greenback occurred in 1958 at 1.5955. We have the worst leaders, perhaps in human history. They seem to think that they can destroy Russia, and everyone else will wait their turn. China, North Korea, and Iran, perhaps others, will join in certainly by 2026. We can see that 2024 was a Directional Change. The European Union will no longer exist post-2029. The Euro has major overhead resistance at the 108-109 level, and a closing below that for 2024 looks like death warmed over.

As I said before, I was solicited to put in $10 billion to take over Russia back in 1999. I refused. The story was that I would earn 10x that amount. They were looking at the vast wealth of natural resources. Make no mistake, this is a conquest agenda to strip Russia of all its assets. Napoleon and Hitler attempted the same for the same reasons. In 1917, Russia had the largest gold reserves EVER in the world. They hid them so the Communists would not get them. To this day, nobody knows where they are.

In his Face the Nation Interview, Lindsey Grahm said the same shit I was told back in 1999 - get Russia's wealth. He said:

"It's now time to give them the F-16s, let them fly the planes, long range artillery to hit targets inside of Russia. Go after Putin's assets, wherever they're at, all over the world. Go on the offensive. I think this summer, Ukraine will regain military momentum."

....

"But what did Trump do to get the weapons flowing? He created a loan system. They're sitting on 10 to $12 trillion of critical minerals in- in Ukraine. They could be the richest country in all of Europe. I don't want to give that money and those assets to Putin to share with China. If we help Ukraine now, they can become the best business partner we ever dreamed of, that 10 to $12 trillion of critical mineral assets could be used by Ukraine and the West, not given to Putin and China. This is a very big deal how Ukraine ends. Let's help them win a war we can't afford to lose. Let's find a solution to this war. But they're sitting on a gold mine. To give Putin 10 or $12 trillion for critical minerals that he will share with China is ridiculous."


This is NOT going to go as planned. The West will lose, and Europe will not survive as we have once known it. There is no way to stop this because those in power fear losing that power. They put themselves before their countries and certainly view their populations as expendable - there is always more from where they came from. The ECM on this war has critical targets as the 2nd quarter of 2025 and the 2nd quarter of 2026. Ukraine will certainly not exist. As I pointed out, I have never seen the computer go flat-line in a country.






West Prepares for "Limited" Nuclear War

MONDAY, JUNE 3, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


The Neocons, in charge of the White House, have even given Ukraine the OK to start missile attacks inside Russia. This is essentially a Declaration of War, and Zelensky is so corrupt he thinks they can defeat Russia and he will have a trillion dollars to skim from on rebuilding Ukraine. Sorry, there will be no Ukraine when the Neocons are done with him.

The USA is preparing for a "limited" nuclear war where they will regard a VICTORY with only 33% of America surviving, but it will be the world leader. This is the Neocon doctrine, and God help us. They are directing all the polls to try to insist that Trump will be defeated. But our computer shows an overwhelming victory for Trump, and they manipulated the polls for BREXIT, and ONLY our computer was right on that one as well.


Germany is looking to call up 900,000 for military service. Our staff from Germany has confirmed a personal friend who is 59 years old was told to report. The draft age will be raised in the West to 60 years old, which will likely be the same in the United States, perhaps in September. These Neocons are in COMPLETE control of Washington and are prepared to go nuclear. They will consider a win if only 33% of the United States survives. I cannot stress how insane these Neocons are. They are intentionally bringing on World War III. They started the Ukrainian Civil War by installing their hand-picked UNELECTED government in 2014, instructing them to attack the Donbas, knowing that Russia would defend its own people. Zelensky won the election, promising peace. He then switched to destroy his own country for a handful of silver.


Merkel admitted that the West lied to Russia to buy time, for they did not want peace; they have always wanted to unleash World War III, for what began as hatred of Communism never ended even though Russia revolted against that Marxist Philosophy/. As far as the West is concerned, they hate Russians no matter what economic philosophy they hear these days. So they are prepared for a "limited" nuclear war and are willing to sacrifice 66% of their population just to kill every possible Russian. Our Neocons are far worse than Hitler, Mussolini, Napoleon, or Mao Zedong. They are prepared to destroy 66% of the entire world to satisfy their personal hatred.

I fear that they will either assassinate Trump or they will start war BEFORE the election, as I have been reporting since 2013. They think they can manipulate the election to retain power to start World War III but are underestimating the civil unrest they are inviting. These people are unleashing chaos, so they pushed Biden into power; he is not in charge of anything. Biden is their hand puppet, and they are out to exercise the power they have finally achieved. 

The Constitution does NOT actually require an election by the people in 2024. “There is no constitutional right to vote” unlike other rights listed in the Constitution, such as the right of the people to keep and bear arms in the Second Amendment, or the right to a speedy and public trial in the Sixth Amendment, or whatever. The Constitution DOES NOT explicitly give U.S. citizens this “right” to vote. Some want to claim that the right to vote is implicit, embedded in the Equal Protection Clause of the 14th Amendment, and others argue that the right does not exist. NO CLAUSE in the Constitution of the Bill of Rights expressly states you have a right to vote at all.

In the 1972 decision in Dunn v. Blumstein, Justice Marshall stated, “In decision after decision, this Court has made clear that a citizen has a constitutionally protected right to participate in elections on an equal basis with other citizens in the jurisdiction.” And again, in the 1974 Richardson v. Ramirez case, Justice Rehnquist wrote: “Because the right to vote ‘is of the essence of a democratic society, and any restrictions on that right strike at the heart of representative government,’… voting is a ‘fundamental’ right.”


It is still debatable whether these decisions are rooted in equal protection, and even the states operate differently. They choose their delegates to the electrical college differently since some have winner-take-all and others assign electors according to the proportion of the vote. Since the Founding Fathers looked to the Roman Republic as their guide, those in power in Rome would pre-select candidates for office, further reducing the value of voters’ input. We saw the Democrats move not only to try to prevent Trump from being on the ballot but also to keep RFK off the ballot, affording Democrats no right to vote for a candidate of their choice. There is no express right to vote for the people or to select who should be the candidate on any ticket.

This is the loophole people are looking at. The Constitution ONLY requires that a group of electors, commonly called the Electoral College, choose the next president - not the people and each state has its own agenda on even who is an elector. If a majority of electors FAILS to agree on a winner, Congress picks the winner in continental elections held within Congress under the terms of the 12th Amendment.

The only hard deadline in the Constitution is the end of a president’s and vice president’s terms on January 20th of the year following a general election. Therefore, they cannot legally postpone the election, as Zelensky has done. Still, suppose they start war BEFORE the election. In that case, they can justify the election, which could be steered into Congress, and count on the Neocons in both parties to support Biden for another term because this is a matter of national security. The people are not actually required to be afforded the right to vote. They cannot discriminate one group from another, but they can claim an emergency, insisting that the states cannot agree, so Congress must appoint Biden as president in times of war. It is possible that if they start a war in September. 


These people are citing to politicians that nuclear war will not destroy the planet. They are pointing to Japan. Both Hiroshima and Nagasaki have proven that the “science” claimed that those cities would be uninhabitable for a thousand years after a nuclear war was wrong. Their populations doubled in 20 years after being nuked? Hiroshima now has nine times its 1945 population. They are also citing Chornobyl in Ukraine, where the nuclear disaster restored the region, which became a sanctuary for animals void of humans.


Bikini Atoll, 70 years after nuclear tests, is thriving. Since July 24th, 1946, the United States dropped 23 atomic bombs on the island, including a device in 1954 that was 1,100 times larger than the Hiroshima atom bomb. Now, a team of scientists from Stanford University has been stunned. They discovered an abundance of marine life apparently thriving in the crater of Bikini Atoll, which was declared a nuclear wasteland after the bombings. They discovered the same result that was found at Chornobyl in Ukraine. 

This is the justification being cited against their critics in all major capitals right now. Even the Greens in Germany are now pro-war, for they see this as cleansing the planet of the disgusting vermin - overpopulation of people. You are the vermin that needs to be reduced to prevent global warming. The Neocons WANT nuclear war ASAP! Putin keeps drawing a red line, and they keep crossing the BECAUSE they were to unleash World War III, but they want history to claim it was Russia - not America.

Russia and China will focus on these strategic military and/or financial targets. A Russia/China retaliation nuclear attack would likely focus on high-value targets in North Dakota or Montana. That is not true. The main military targets will be:

1) Naval Base Kitsap: Washington State2) Jim Creek Naval Radio Station: Washington State3) Malmstrom AFB: Montana4) Minot AFB: North Dakota5) FE Warren AFB: Wyoming6) Hill AFB: Utah7) Kirkland AFB Albuquerque: New Mexico

I strongly urge those in the main target cities to start to look to get out. I know many people have sought to go to Montana, thinking they will survive. They are wrong. That is the location of the ICBMs and will be a major target in nuclear war. The states/regions to leave:

Montana, North Dakota, Wyoming, Utah, New Mexico, Washington State, New YorkCity region, Illinois Chicago Region, Texas in the Houston region, and California.

Our war model turned up 2014.758. Normally, a conventional war lasts 3 to 5 years. If they start this now out of desperation, fearing they will lose power in the 2024 election, then the peak in this war will be 2027.
































11 ships are trapped behind the Key Bridge, including 4 considered critical to the nation’s defense

Gold & War

SATURDAY, MARCH 30, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I attended your WEC for the first time and was very impressed. You mentioned that gold does not rise with the standard inflation and fiat currency theories but with the uncertainty that comes with war. Anyone remotely capable of independent thought can see your analysis is way above anyone out there. My question, respectfully, is how high do you think gold will go with Biden's announcement that we are in World War III, which you just posted?

REPLY: The major resistance right now stands at 2365 with just the threat of war. The WAR TARGET stands at 3365 right now, but this will rise to 4500 by 2027. What is critical to understand is that the high in gold tends to come AFTER the war. The Civil War ended in 1865, but the high was during the Panic of 1869. You see the same after World War I and II but also the Vietnam War is what broke the fixed exchange rate of Bretton Woods in 1971.


It is important to understand that President Lincoln suspended the gold standard in December 1861 during the American Civil War. The Greenbacks, expressed in gold, began trading on what became known as the New York Stock Exchange on January 29th, 1863. The price of gold swung wildly during the summer of 1862. What would become the NYSE acted "patriotically" by first banning future deliveries (time sales with (settlements deferred up to 60 days). The speculation continued, and then they banned outright cash sales. The total ban proved to be an outrageous restriction on the free markets. Consequently, the backlash resulted in the total ban collapsing in less than a month. The problem was that any international business was conducted in gold.


Lincoln wanted his cake, yet ate it too. The government decreed that the Greenbacks were legal tender, forcing people to accept them. However, this could not apply internationally, so there had to be some exchange rate between greenback and gold. Soon after gold trading resumed in New York, Lincoln tried to discourage speculation by taxing gold sales with settlements longer than three days. Active gold traders quickly realized that the government was targeting them.


They had to leave the New York exchange and shift all speculation in gold to a new exchange they created on October 12th, 1863. Samuel S. Gilpin was the brains behind this new operation, and it was formally known as the "Gold Room" and was located within his Merchants' Exchange building at 26 Exchange Place. The lack of integrity among traders, which the Gold Room could not enforce, led a group of traders to leave Gilpin's to form the New York Gold Exchange. One of the founders was James Boorman Colgate (1818–1904), the son of William Colgate and Mary Gilbert, a family member behind the Colgate-Palmolive conglomerate. James B. Colgate became the president of the New York Gold Exchange at first.


We have Lincoln targeting the gold market during the Civil War, then Roosevelt confiscating gold in 1934 and outlawing it for domestic use. I hope you see a pattern here. Our biggest risk coming with CBDCs is that they can control who you can donate money to for an election and control your spending. They can outlaw buying gold and cryptocurrencies. 


The Neocons wrote this script, and effectively, Biden Declared War on Russia on March 26th, 2022, circumventing Congress. As long as he did not issue a formal DECLARATION OF WAR, which only Congress can issue, then he is committing treason covertly—or I should say, the likes of Victoria Nuland orchestrated this war. Biden just reads what he is told to say.

As I have said many times, these Neocons just are pissed off that Communism fell all by itself. The Reagan administration told me directly that the NEOCONS were against him meeting with Gorbachev and told him, "You can NEVER trust a Russian."


These NEOCONs are putting the entire civilization at risk for their personal hatred. They never consider what if they are wrong. The price of that mistake will be catastrophic. As the government realizes it is losing, it will become far more aggressive in the USA, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and Europe. Expect restrictions on everything as well as food rationing. This is what these people are doing, for we live in an autocracy, precisely what they accuse Putin of doing. We have no right to vote on anything of substance - these are all their decisions - not ours!



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I warned that food prices will rise 10 fold: prep while you can.


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Based on our Economic Confidence Model, the US economy will now go through an economic declineprojected to peak on May 7th. We should enter a 4-year decline into the summer of 2028, unleashing a recession but with higher inflation thanks to continued shortages. Now, consumers and businesses can expect more supply-chain problems thanks to this bridge collapse that will accelerate shortages impacting farmers. Indeed, one of the conspiracy theories concerning the bridge collapse has been that the Climate Change Zealots rigged the bridge to collapse, knowing that this would cut off the majority of fertilizer for farmers. This certainly helps their cause, for this is planting season, and cutting off the fertilizer supply at this critical moment may reduce the food supply this year.


Add the problem of this massive wave of illegal migrants that offer nothing to expand the economy but instead are here for everything free. A reduction in the food supply at this critical juncture may prove to be devastating when you have expanded the population with illegals approaching 14 million. Even looking at Wheat, our computer is projecting a low here in March/April, and prices appear to be rising on the horizon. Throw in war, and commodities tend to rise faster. To put this immigration crisis in perspective, they now outnumber the population of EVERY state except four and pay no taxes!

State ………… PopulationCalifornia…… 38,889,770Texas………… 30,976,754Florida……… 22,975,931New York….. 19,469,232

While cargo such as autos and coal will be rerouted to other ports, hazardous materials, including fuel, are prohibited from traveling through tunnels. That is why this bridge has been so vital. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg warned of delays and backlogs. This will contribute to the continued inflation we see, which will surpass economic growth. There will also be a massive loss of tens of thousands of port-related jobs. Part of the US Naval fleet is also now trapped.

The Democrats have clearly undermined the economy by refusing to close the border. Worse still, immigrants in Chicago have refused vaccinations of any kind, and the Feds say nothing while Americans lose their jobs for refusing to take COVID-19 vaccines. The combination of these events clearly undermines the economy, and civil unrest will rise as we enter a recession. The 2024 election will simply not be accepted by either side, and the hatred created politically undermines the viability of the United States to survive beyond 2032 as a single nation.




It's Official - We Are at War With Russia

SUNDAY, MARCH 24, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


Putin can no longer restrain the far-right in Russia. Everyone knows this was not an Islamic Terrorist attack. The Press secretary Dmitry Peskov for the Russian President has come out and said now plainly: "We are in a state of war. Yes, it started out as a special military operation, but as soon as...the collective West became a participant in it on the side of Ukraine, it had become a war for us." There is no ore denying this, and the American Neocons have both parties wrapped up in this drive to create World War III. This attack was effectively retaliation for electing Putin. The quest for Regime Change by the West in Russia has galvanized the Russian people more than they want to admit to the Western fake media. It has been the US providing targeting data to Ukraine, which has now just taken down two more Russian ships in its Black Sea Fleet. They could not do that without Western drones and targeting info from satellite surveillance. There is no shot at peace. They want to destroy Russia and expect China, North Korea, and Iran to wait their turn patiently.

Despite all the American/European propaganda against Russia, the markets are warning that it is the West that is failing - not Russia. When we look at the Ruble, with all the hatred and sanctions hurled at the Russian people for just being Russian, this strategy is not working. The dollar spiked high when the Ukraine war began. However, all the sanctions have failed to undermine the Russian economy while accelerating inflation in the West. The chart shows that the upward channel is providing desperate support for the dollar, and a break beneath that channel implies the precise opposite of the rhetoric hurled at Russia by the Institute for the Study of War. Even the stochastic is starting to roll over to the downside.


As some of our institutional clients pointed out, the Array back in January had targeted the week of March 18th, and we wrongly assumed that this was perhaps merely reflecting the Russian election. Next week is now a Directional Change, and the next Directional Change will be the very week after the ECM turning point on May 7th.


The dollar against the ruble peaked last October, and a closing below 74 would indicate a further decline for the dollar. I also perhaps hopefully saw that the May 7th precise target was the inauguration of the Russian president. But it appears our insane Neocons and NATO realize that Ukraine cannot survive much longer. They do not care about the Ukrainian people. They are just collateral damage, and Zelensky has not problem serving them all up on a deathbed for his escape to his Miami villa to live tax-free dancing in his high heels in the local gay clubs. It appears that they are bringing war ASAP, and this fake Islamic Attack on civilians was intended to cause them to rise up and overthrow Putin so they get their regime change. That will not work, and I fear what May has in store.



 













The Masks are Now Off

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


All the claims from the White House and in recent Victoria Nuland interviews on CNN by the hopeless Christiane Amanpour, the extreme leftist British-Iranian journalist, are all outright lies. Even Gallop Polls show that there is no such overwhelming American support for a continued war in Ukraine. This is why they are suddenly pushing to create a war ASAP. They get Congress's approval for defense, and then NATO says they can use the F16s to attack inside Russia. They lie to our "representatives," and these insane people are going to get war. 


When I stood up at the World Economic Conference in 2011 and warned that the war cycle would turn up in 2014, it was one thing to see the model and its projections, but it was another to live through this nightmare. Nobody wishes I and Socrates would be wrong more than me. For starters, the people creating this war are UNELECTED, like Victoria Nuland and her sister-in-law.


My sources are all realizing that this NATO statement allowing Ukraine to use the F16s to fly into Russia and start bombing their cities is a deliberate provocation, praying Russia will attack so they can call them the aggressor. All they have to do is honor the Minsk Agreement, and the war will end in 24 hours. These people are filled with such hatred it is beyond description.

Russia is no longer Communist. What is even the difference anymore? We also have rigged elections. They are trying to imprison Trump while they dare to claim that a CIA operative of theirs, Alexey Navalny, was somehow Putin's adversary who would have won the election. They just tell more lies while they try to imprison Trump, who, by all accounts, will win the election.

 


 

I have been warning for the past two years that the prospect of creating World War III BEFORE the 2024 election was a reality. The Belarusian President, Alexander Lukashenko, has called it like it is. He is warning that the West is on the " edge of the abyss " of World War Three.  Lukashenko has made it clear that he has "legitimate concerns" about the likelihood of a global conflict and accused the West of fuelling war tensions and pushing the world towards disaster. I cannot disagree. The F16s were for defense, and now NATO has lifted all restrictions.

"We are literally covered with an information wave of the so-called premonition of the third world war, which just a lazy one still hasn't mentioned. And there are grounds for these fears," Lukashenko said, according to Sky News.


All our timing Arrays are hinting that we are looking at war, but the Neocons and NATO are clearly trying to force Russia to respond BEFORE the 2024 US election. Lukashenko bluntly stated:

"The masks have been completely dropped."

 


What is the end game? Do these people really think that they can destroy Russia? Then what? They never think their objectives out. They just always act out of immediate hatred and have no vision for peace EVER! They assume they can destroy Russia and ask China, North Korea, and Iran to please wait in line for their turn. I'm sorry. If I were them, I would instantly ban together, and they would destroy the West, including the USA, Canada, and the EU.


Even the Romans, who were the superpower of their day, had their Temple of Janus standing in the Roman Forum with doors on both ends. Inside was a statue of Janus, who is always represented as the two-faced god; one looks to the future and the other to the past. We still celebrate his feast day - it's New Year's Eve.  The doors of his temple were open in times of war and closed to mark peace. This represented that the winds of war could always change politically. The outcome was NOT always guaranteed. A lesson these people have not learned.

These Neocons and NATO, who constantly seek war, have no idea what they are playing with because all they want is the destruction of Russia. Nobody dares to ask what then, even if they won. If I were Putin, I would be pushing the button before I would allow the fall of Russia. We would do the same. Nuclear Weapons were the argument that they would create peace because the alternative is too devastating. Nukes are no longer a deterrent for these people believe that they can crush their opposition and they will not push the button even with their last dying breath.

This is why we need a DIRECT DEMOCRACY. The UNELECTED people make the decisions, and they care nothing about the people. This is only their personal vengeance that will destroy the world as we know it. When it comes to reform - PLEASE go to a direct Democracy.

Start Gathering Food for the Long Haul

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The 2024 Debt Crisis as $10 Trillion Matures

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


I have studied financial history perhaps more than anyone else. I have explored debt crises through ancient times and even pointed out that Hammurabi's Legal Code was really dealing with a debt crisis, for when you study the text, what emerges is wage and price controls. I have explained in great detail the debt crisis that undermined the Roman Republic, which compelled Julius Caesar to cross the Rubicon. I have also written in detail about the reform of Solon in Athens, which also dealt with a major debt crisis. Even the Bible went into forgiveness in Deuteronomy 15:1:

 “At the end of every seven years you shall grant a release. And this is the manner of the release: every creditor shall release what he has lent to his neighbor. He shall not exact it of his neighbor, his brother, because the Lord's release has been proclaimed.

We are staring into the eyes of financial chaos. Here in 2024, we are facing a whopping $7.6 trillion in interest-bearing US public debt will mature. We have estimated that about $800 billion of corporate debt was set to mature in 2024. This is followed by $1.07 trillion of debt maturing in 2025. 


 

The EU’s debt costs will double in 2024 due to higher interest rates. In recent years, the EU has borrowed itself heavily to finance NextGenerationEU grants, part of the historic €800bn Covid-19 recovery program agreed upon by member states in 2020. The war against Russia and unprecedented billions handed to Ukraine have led the European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 3.75% since July 2022 and prompted unforeseen financing costs for the EU. With nearly 1 trillion Euros also coming due in 2024, the cost of borrowing has almost doubled compared to the amount initially forecasted for 2024.

 

We are projecting €4 trillion in European corporate debt, which is scheduled to mature through 2025. The Lower-rated issuers generally have a longer window to refinance since speculative-grade (rated ‘BB+’ and below) debt does not reach its peak maturity of €177 billion until 2025.

 

Confidence in the EU government has collapsed to 30%. Joe Biden is really just a hand puppet of the Neocons, and they are purely interested in starting a war. They have no interest in economics and never consider what their policies will be due to the economy and the nation's fate.

 

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s warning at the start of December about the “unsustainable” national debt was the first time the Fed had criticized the government since 1951. Only fools are pointing the finger at the Fed, for they do NOT create all the money - that is the Treasury. The bonds issued by the Treasury are acceptable as collateral, just as you can post T-Bills as collateral to trade futures. Debt has become money that pays interest, and I am sorry to have to point out to these pundits and economists who blame the Fed for everything. Wake the HELL UP!

Powell warned that the U.S. is on a dangerous path after running up a $34 trillion national debt, which reached new heights after pandemic-era spending. He said:

“In the long run, the U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal path. The U.S. federal government is on an unsustainable fiscal path. And that just means the debt is growing faster than the economy,” Powell said in an interview with “60 Minutes.”


The turning point on the ECM was May 7th, 2024, which just so happened to be the precise day of the inauguration of the next President of Russia. I have warned that Putin is the moderate, and replacing him will be far worse than anyone suspects. The Moscow Times has just reported that Putin said Ukraine is a 'Matter of Life and Death' for Russia. However, Putin is starting to speak harder because he is under a lot of pressure from the far right. 


In a Telegram post by Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russia, he claimed that Moscow would use nuclear weapons in the event that "Ukraine with its allies" managed to push Russia out of the war-torn country. Obviously, my concern has been who is sworn in on May 7th since it is the precise day of the ECM

 


 

However, here is the array for the 30-year bond and note that we have a Panic Cycle in May, which is the STRONGEST target for the year. Besides the Russia issue, I am very concerned about the rollover of debt now that we have nearly $10 trillion maturing. Obviously, that has to be paid, and they do that by issuing a NEW DEBT. As I have warned governments we were facing a Sovereign Debt Crisis in 2024, COVID-19 just put it over the edge.


Even when we turn to the 10-year yield, we see a Panic Cycle in May, but here we see the STRONGEST target is July. Note the higher volatility from August into November. My concern is that we are getting sacked with two crises, one after the other. First, it appears that we may see long-term rates, which the Fed does not control, rise because of the lack of buyers to roll the debt, and that means to sell the new debt, it will have to be at higher rates set by the auction - NOT the Fed. Then the strongest target is July, followed by rising volatility, and we have panic cycles in many markets in September, including the Dow Jones Industrials.


Our model on the Russian 10-year interest rate also shows a Panic Cycle in May coinciding with the next president's inauguration.


 

When we look at Japan and the Euro, both show the problem in July as the STRONGEST target. This concerns me more with geopolitics as the world is aligning at that time. Therefore, this May target might also result in an impact from the rolling of the debt and rising rates due to a lack of buyers. We will have to deal with this at the upcoming London Seminar.

 


 

 


The Coming False Flag

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 14, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG

 

NATO and the Neocons will make a grave mistake. They will create a FALSE FLAG to blame Russia for something, and it is going to have to be a significant staged event along the lines of Pearl Harbor or 9/11. The confidence in the European Government has collapsed to 30% thanks to the insanity of COVID and Ursula refusing to reveal the text messages with Pfizer. The Neocons are desperately concerned that their hand puppet, Joe Biden, will go down for the count. The fact that his mental capacity was put into the Special Counsel's report was INTENTIONAL because the Democrats fear losing big time and are fighting to win.


In contrast, the Neocons are fighting to stay alive. This special counsel report is reminiscent of Hillary and her private server, which also had classified documents, and the DOJ, in Democratic hands, also looked the other way while they criminally charged Trump. This was to lay the basis for the Democrats to draft Michelle Obama at the August Democratic Convention. If they stage such a False Flag event, fearing a Trump victory that will fire them all again, they will have to ensure it is convincing, and they may carry out such a scheme with a false flag by July.

 


The presidential election in Russia will be held on  March 15–17, 2024. We do see the week of March 18th as the strongest target during March. This same target shows up in Crude Oil. We can see that April is a turning point, and thereafter, this moves into July. The concern I would have is any false flag in Ukraine might involve a chemical or a tactical nuclear weapon. The Neocons could stage such an event in July to influence the August 19th - 22nd Democratic Convention to manipulate the outcome to their favor to retain power.


Because Putin expressly said he was not interested in invading Poland, this may mean that the False Flag must involve Poland to call Putin a liar. This raises concern for April ahead of the swearing-in of the next president of Russia on May 7th. The second target we must be concerned about in Poland will be October, a Panic Cycle and the turning point in Poland's ECM.

Even the Monthly ECM on the Ukraine War is also in April. We must realize that the Neocons control the Biden White House. They will fight to retain that power.







Poland Deploys Military

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 6, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG



Poland is joining the fray as everyone in Europe at the elite level is praying for a war they desperately are trying to create. This war would be over in 24 hours if they just honored the Minsk Agreement and let the people of the Donbas form their own country since Kyiv has outlawed their language, their religion, and their freedom. If Canada did that with the French, there would be civil war there, as would be the case in the USA by outlawing Spanish as a language.

Angele Merkel admitted that the West NEVER INTENDED to honor the Minsk Agreement. They played Putin for a fool to give Ukraine the time to build the largest army in Europe. Now we have Britain pushing for NATO to create a NO-FLY ZONE over Ukrainian territory while giving Ukraine jets to invade Russian territory. They are doing everything possible to create World War III and are pushing this for May. Meanwhile, NATO has staged the largest military exercise in European history, all to provoke Russia.

We are completing the 2024 Outlook this week, and it does not look very promising for Europe. We will post when this report is available for clients.



-----------------------




Britain Pushing for War by May 2024 with ECM

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 5, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG

It has been very disconcerting that the precise day of the ECM peak on this wave is May 7th, the day the next president of Russia is sworn in. Now, reliable sources are whispering that the British, at the behest of their American Neocon counterparts, are pushing NATO, trying desperately to force Russia to attack anyone in NATO to justify war.

Britain and the US are working to create World War III this summer, and as I warned last year, they need it to start a war this summer to influence the 2024 US election. Britain has proposed sending an "expeditionary" force to Ukraine. It has even suggested that NATO impose a no-fly zone over Kyiv's territory that they hope will justify starting a direct confrontation with Russia.

The British are proposing this takes place this May, coinciding with the swearing-in of the Russian president. This also aligns with the turn in the ECM, and if this proposed plan takes place, the ECM will confirm without question that it will lead to World War III - sooner rather than later.

They are also proposing to send NATO troops to Norway and Finland to confront Russia on the border in that region. NATO is desperately trying to start a war with Russia, and then they will turn their sites on China.

Speaking in her interview for “Die Zeit,” published on December 7, 2022, German ex-Chancellor Merkel said the following: “The 2014 Minsk Agreement was an attempt to buy time for Ukraine. Ukraine used this time to become stronger, as you can see today. Ukraine in 2014-2015 and Ukraine today are not the same.” According to the ex-Chancellor, “it was clear for everyone” that the conflict was suspended and the problem was not resolved, “but it was exactly what gave Ukraine the priceless time.”

Ukraine was deliberately set in motion to kill as many Russians as possible and deplete its military forces, and then NATO thinks it will be in Moscow within a week. That is why Merkel negotiated the Minsk Agreement to buy time for Ukraine to build an army. Never did the West ever intend to allow the Russians in the Donbas to live in peace. They had Zelensky stand up on Feb 23rd to ensure that Putin would invade and announce he would rearm Ukraine with nuclear weapons pointed at Russia. The next day, Putin took the bait and came to the rescue of the Donbas. Putin’s Speech to the Russian people on February 24, 2022, points out the endless expansion of NATO and how the West abandoned the Minsk Agreement, which was the “path of a peaceful conflict settlement.” He also mentions the quest to arm itself with nuclear weapons and says Russia will not let that happen.

From the beginning, the strategy has been to deplete the Russian military. As Lindsey Graham boldly stated, it was the best money the US had ever spent killing Russians. These people live in hate and bathe themselves in the blood of the people. Exactly as Goring testified at his Nuremberg Trial. Nothing has changed.

The United States launched attacks Friday, Feb 2nd, 2024, against 85 sites in Iraq and Syria used by Iranian forces and Iran-backed militants, its first retaliatory strikes for the killing of three American soldiers in Jordan last weekend, U.S. officials said.  The military action is a significant escalation to the war in the Middle East.  This, too, will only escalate and they hope that Russia will come to the aid of Iran.

Our Neocon,  Adam Kinzinger of Illinois, who has stepped in the shoes of John McCain, has the insanity of claiming we can destroy Russia in three days. Why do these people live with such hatred? That then provokes a response: "We are the only country in the world that can destroy the United States in one hour," Margarita Simonyan, the editor of the Russia Today (RT). In mid-January, former Russian President and deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, said that Ukrainian attacks on missile launch sites within Russian territory with U.S. or NATO-supplied weapons could provoke a nuclear response from the Kremlin.

Trump wanted to pull out of NATO because it is a terrorist organization that ONLY seeks war. After all, without an enemy, then countries no longer need to keep funding NATO. Russia MUST be an enemy, or NATO has no purpose. War is their own self-interest, and they need this confrontation to keep their funding flowing and to remain relevant.

 

The Arrays on both the Euro and the Ruble have targeted May. Both also show higher volatility in April. It appears that actual confrontation may emerge going into July. Putin has been the moderate - not the devil. All of this propaganda against him may be more than the typical use of hatred politics where you demonize your opponent to get the people on your side and, in this case, hate all Russians.  Putin has been resisting calls to escalate the war that the real enemy is NATO and the United States. They may deliberately try to overthrow Putin and install Dmitry Medvedev, who will want to engage the West.

 

We look at the array for Ukraine and note the most vital target is March, which is the actual election in Russia, whereas May 7th is the swearing-in ceremony. The March presidential election in Russia will be held on 15–17. Putin's opponents are:

  • Nikolay Kharitonov, Independent Communist Alliance, is a left-wing nationalist and communist political party.

  • Leonid Slutsky's LDPR Party is an ultranationalist and right-wing populist political party in Russia.

  • Vladislav Davankov New People Alliance SPPS Party, which is more center-right but does support Putin.

Putin has no real credible opponent with charisma. The only way I would expect to see Putin replaced would be because of health, assassination, or a back-room deal where he agrees to step aside to the hardliners who want World War III.

You can see our War Equity Index is breaking out. It will be wise to keep an eye on this index. It bottomed there in September 2023, just before the Hamas attack on October 7th. Here, once again, we have a Panic Cycle in April with a Directional Change followed by another Directional Change and a turning point in May. This shows the strongest target as Augustus, which is the seasonal time for war. Then, there is a Panic Cycle in October, and many other markets are showing Panic Cycles in September. Remember that those who make the decisions for war ALWAYS move their money in advance; this War Index picked up the Hamas attack. It appears to be positioning itself for another event.

 


The current list of markets that are in the War Index...

  • BA (Boeing)

  • BAH (Booz Allen Hamilton)

  • CACI (CACI International)

  • GD (General Dynamics)

  • GE (General Electric)

  • HII (Huntington Ingalls Industries)

  • HON (Honeywell)

  • LDOS (Leldos)

  • LHX (L3 Harris Technologies)

  • LMT (Lockheed Martin)

  • NOC (Northrop Grumman)

  • RTX (Raytheon)

  • SAIC (Science Applications International)

  • TXT (Textron)










Are CBDCs Constitutional?

MONDAY, JANUARY 22, 2024 BY: withheld


There will be direct CBDCs in the BRIC nations while Europe may follow the US lead, yet that is not guaranteed. To introduce CBDCs to track everything an individual does financially would be unconstitutional, violating the Fourth and Fifth Amendments. So, the workaround is the same scheme they perfected with COVID – have the private sector restrict the free speech that the government cannot do directly.

The Federal Reserve is NOT planning on doing a CBDC. What they are doing is allowing fully programmable and traceable private digital currencies. This is why banks suddenly ask questions in review – does all your income derive from payroll? They have been debanking cash operations and looking dim on gold bullion operations, all in preparation for them becoming your overlord.

Just as the government could NOT restrict free speech during COVID-19, social media was instructed to do so; the same scheme is unfolding with the banking industry, which will do the reporting, investigation, and debank anyone who does not conform.

Those in power fear the people and must exercise total control to retain that power. Yet the Constitution forbids that. So, keep your wits about you, keep your eyes open, and don’t get caught up in the state propaganda. There is just no economic benefit to central banks' digital currencies. This is only about complete control. Yet the backdrop is the diversion, which will be creating a war with Russia; the opening of the border was to let terrorists in so that on the first attack, they can justify this new monetary system and restrictions on movement.

In the end, this is also a covert means to cover up the sovereign default, for today's interest payments have surpassed the national debt in 1980. They will default on the debt and eliminate the currency to be replaced with this new fully monitored currency by the banks to ensure the 16-year-old girl next door pays taxes on what you pay her to watch the kids when you and your spouse go to dinner.









Clarification on the Greatest Crash

SATURDAY, JANUARY 13, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


 

QUESTION: Hello,

Marty's most recent private blog mentions Biden will create the "Biggest Crash in Human History" but in the example he cites debt and US Treasuries with no mention of our stock markets.  

In this years WEC Marty said he did not expect a big pullback in our equity markets since foreigners will flee their currency and markets and head to the DOW.  Can he clarify if the crash he alluded to applies to our equity markets?

Thank youAlex


ANSWER: Sorry, I should have realized that when you say "crash," many assume you mean the stock market. NOT THIS TIME! There are a lot of people in government who read this private blog. They are generally the "good guys." We will see the greatest crash in human history if those in power are STUPID ENOUGH to seize the $300 billion in Russian reserve and hand any portion to Ukraine. I previously warned NOT to impose sanctions against Russia for (1) they would not work and (2) it would warn the rest of the world that if you do not do as the Biden Administration command and bend the knee, if not kiss his ring or better yet, his feet, then you too can be removed from SWIFT.

This time, if they steal the reserves of Russia, then any foreign entity who has US or EU government bonds as their reserves had better sell everything they have ASAP. Biden has violated every principle of international law, while Merkel admitted negotiating in bad faith the entire Minsk agreement. Obviously, you cannot negotiate with the West nor trust them holding your assets. This is the complete destruction of civilization.

This means not a crash in private assets but government assets where the money will have no place to hide but in the private sector. The Array on the 30-year bonds points to a serious trend into 2027. We do not see the same pattern in the dow; the strongest target will be 2032. 

Let us hope they will listen to my warning this time and not hand Zelensky $300 billion so he and his friends can buy Florida.


 

 




Biden to Create the Greatest Crash in Human History

FRIDAY, JANUARY 12, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


We have a major crisis brewing. Biden does whatever the Neocons tell him and his Climate Change freaks. The crisis these idiots are creating is the total destruction of the world economy. With Biden seizing $300 billion of Russian Reserves and now saying they will hand them to Ukraine in this all-out war to destroy Russia, it is a warning to the rest of the world that NOBODY should have ANY reserves in ANY Western currency that can be seized. Biden has already created more billionaires than any other American president with Bidenomics. The footnote is that they are all in Ukraine. Handing $300 billion to this sleazeball Zelensky, he can then buy all of Florida - not just a mansion in Miami. This illegal taking, prohibited even by the US 5th Amendment, would require approval from all US allies in the Group of 7 (G7). The vast majority of Russia’s central bank assets that were frozen by the G7 and the European Union are held by the EU, with the US only holding around $5 billion worth. If the EU sanctioned this, it would certainly justify war against Brussels - it's totally insane.


China would now be a fool to retain ANY US or Western bonds whatsoever, for they are next on this wish list of the Neocons to conquer the world and bring their version of “Democracy,” which is not so different from the days of the Soviet Union, where the people were NEVER consulted on anything. These people wage wars; if we do not appear on their battlefield, then we are to be imprisoned, all without any right to agree to a war in the first place.

China has lent nearly $1 trillion to some 150 developing countries, which is less than 10% of its domestic debt. China has been reluctant to cancel large debts owed by some developing countries that are struggling as the dollar has risen over the past several years. As I have warned, there is an emerging market debt crisis because they have borrowed in dollars and are now struggling to make ends meet. Add to this, China is facing a domestic debt crisis as trillions of dollars that is owed by local governments, which are mostly off-the-books financial affiliates and real estate developers.



Janet Yellen flew to China back in July 2023 under the story of her visit to Beijing, where she claimed that she was there to persuade China to cooperate more to address an evolving debt crisis among emerging market countries. China’s banking system is wary of accepting losses on foreign loans when it faces far greater losses on loans within China. However, that was the cover story. She was there because the Neocons were destroying the world economy, and she was to assure China not to sell off US debt. After Yellen's visit, China's reserves declined for three months. Going into year-end, they rose to new highs, but this was not all US debt. However, stepping back from the short-term headlines, China's reserves peaked in June 2014 at $4.010 trillion USD when Europe took interest rates to NEGATIVE. Since then, China's foreign reserves have declined by 20% since December 2023. 


As you can see, trade with China has declined since its peak in October 2018. The total foreign holding of US debt peaked at $7.740 trillion during the 4th quarter of 2021.

Our analysis of China puts their domestic debt, including households, companies, and the local governments, between 200-300% of GDP. Despite the claims of doom and gloom, that compares with an average of 257% in the United States. Therefore, we do not show that China will collapse from its own debt. Our concern has been that a fair portion of that debt is in US dollars. Local governments made the mistake of borrowing in dollars, thinking they would save interest. They did not understand that there is a FOREX risk as well.

In September 2023, China’s central bank announced a policy change to reduce the reserve requirement of domestic banks that they hoped would allow the country’s banks to lend more money. However, China has experienced human nature. The nationwide economic slowdown has left many companies and households wary of borrowing. I have stated this many times. Lowering interest rates will NEVER stimulate an economy. If people have no faith in the future, they will not borrow. Lowering interest rates to NEGATIVE in Europe failed and has now only undermined the banking system as rates are on the rise and their reserves are trapped with negative interest government bonds. China's reduction in reserves did not increase the necessary CONFIDENCE that the people need in the future to encourage borrowing and spending. As the American NEOCONS keep preaching war and even American generals boast that we will be at war with China in a few years, consumer spending in China will not return to where it was with a war on the horizon.


There was also some domestic discontent whereby many criticized that banks should have lent the money to poor households and regions at home, not abroad. Accepting heavy losses on these loans would be unpopular in China and feed into a growing nationalism. It would certainly cultivate even greater support to invade Taiwan. What we must understand is human nature. China will take Taiwan, and it would most likely do so to divert attention from a domestic debt crisis that would make taking Taiwan very popular. Even the most popular movie in China was a war movie where the USA lost.


These idiots have no comprehension of history whatsoever. They do not understand how empires, nations, and city-states collapse. The city of Mainz provided the classic textbook case of how governments collapse. Financial difficulties led to the trade guilds being involved in the city's government from 1332 onwards, just as trade unions today dominate the Democrats. Taxation became the self-interest of those in power, and this was the city where Gutenberg set up shows. The printing of books became a significant technology that brought prosperity to Mainz. The politicians thought the economic boom would never end, and they borrowed excessively against what they believed would be future tax revenues.

A major political conflict was thus avoided until 1411 when the payment of debt annuities accounted for 48% of total expenditure. Back then, the city sold annuities, and people bought them like pensions. In 1411, a popular uprising forbade the sale of any more debt without the consent of the trade guilds, who saw that this was becoming unsustainable, just as Fed Chairman Powell warned in December 2023.

As always, the politicians became addicted to the money. Thus, Mainz's financial conditions continued to worsen. In 1420, the citizens of Mainz drove the patricians out of the city in a tax revolt. A new city government emerged, which forbade the sale of more annuities without the consent of the trade guilds. Nevertheless, the city’s financial situation continued to decline further as it effectively sent the “rich” fleeing, and in the process, the tax revenues plunged. States like California and New England are witnessing a mass flight to the Red States, running excessive overregulation and rising taxation that will never end. Clearly, with the “rich” gone, the city could not revive its economy, effectively destroying the foundation for investment. This led to the expelled “rich” families being recalled to Mainz in a desperate realization that without the “rich,” there is no economic growth – Atlas Shrugged.

It appears that a deal was struck to avoid the complete collapse of Mainz. The return of the patricians may have been predicated upon their buying debt of the city since, on January 16, 1430, Gutenberg’s mother arranged with the city of Mainz to purchase an annuity belonging to her son. This appears to be the reason for the recall of the expelled rich when the city realized it could not revive its economy without them.


By 1436-1437, about 75% of the total city expenditure was now consumed by interest. Interest rates began to rise as there were subtle fears that Mainz might be unable to pay its debts. Thanks to the COVID scam, the decline in revenues sent interest expenditures to 90%. The interest rates climbed as the city searched for buyers for its new debt to fund the old - the classic Ponzi scheme. As a result, the interest rates in Mainz jumped from 3% to 5% during the 1430s.

Finally, in 1436-1437, 75% of Mainz's total expenditure went to creditors, whose interest payments continued to increase, crowding out all economic growth. The interest expenditures were draining Mainz's economic fortunes, and now, there was an ever-increasing difficulty finding new subscribers to its loans. This escalated, causing interest rates to rise even further. During the 1430s, Mainz offered 5% for the perpetual annuities instead of the previous 3% or 4%. The total national debt of Mainz reached 373,184 gulden. In 1448, when the city of Mainz could find no buyer for its debt and could not raise 21,000 gulden, it declared itself bankrupt. Since foreign investors outside Mainz purchased 60% of the debt, the city was placed under an Imperial ban and excommunicated by the Pope.

This is how ALL governments that borrow fail. We are following the same path. It is not a question of IF there will be a Sovereign Debt Crisis - it is only a question of timing - WHEN!


Biden signs whatever they stick in front of him. These fools are threatening China and then expect them to buy US debt like the city of Mainz. Then stealing $300 billion in Russia's reserves and handing them to the MOST corrupt government in the world is telling everyone else, get your reserves out of the WEST ASAP! Why should China have any reserves in Western bonds? They will confiscate that money as they have done to Russia. Biden is pushing to violate International Law, which destroys the very purpose of civilization. 

We are headed into the BIGGEST CRASH IN HUMAN HISTORY, all because of this hatred of Russia and the Neocons. They are completely destroying the fabric of the world economy, which promotes world peace. When you no longer trust someone, you do not do business with them. The Biden Administration is letting millions of illegal aliens in; Biden will grant them citizenship. The rumor that all of this damage will be unaccountable for Biden will step down before the elections, and they intend to put in Michele Obama, against which Hillary Clinton is trying to get her nose in the door.


We have a Panic Cycle that corresponds to the May 7th turning point in the ECM. Taking the $300 billion in Russian Reserves will be a warning to China and everyone else - SELL US /EU DEBT ASAP! This has the possibility of setting off the collapse of European Banks. This is just completely insane.


The Latest Chaos & Energy Crisis

FRIDAY, JANUARY 12, 2024 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


Dmitry Medvedev, now deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russia, warned in a post on his Telegram channel that should Ukraine attack missile launch sites on Russian soil using long-range missiles provided by the West, Moscow could respond with a nuclear strike. Biden’s administration is backing legislation that would let it seize some of $300 billion in frozen Russian assets to help pay for the reconstruction of Ukraine. This would violate every principle of international law, especially when it was the United States Neocons that insisted that Kyiv start the civil war by attacking the Donbas. The US intends to push Zelensky for a new battle plan at Davos. The US will keep up that war until there are no more Ukrainians left to fight.

Meanwhile, it seems rather apparent that the only way for Russia to fight against this illegal SEIZURE OF ASSETS is to support Iran and the Houthi to shut down the traffic through the Suez Canal to send energy prices rising to undermine the Biden Administration by pushing inflation higher that will force the Federal Reserve to remain firm on interest rates and possibly push them even higher.

The U.S. and Britain launched a military strike against targets in Houthi-controlled Yemen. They targeted multiple locations with fighter jets, and Tomahawks fired from Navy ships. Biden said the strikes, which were supported by Australia, Bahrain, Canada, and the Netherlands, targeted areas used by Houthi rebels. Biden said the Houthi "endanger freedom of navigation in one of the world’s most vital waterways."

The Houthi rebels have been escalating attacks against commercial vessels. This certainly risks reducing world trade. Many commercial ships are declining to move through the Suez Canal. Biden also warned that he would "not hesitate to direct further measures to protect our people and the free flow of international commerce as necessary."

Iran, Syria, and pro-Iranian groups in Iraq have declared their unconditional support for Yemen. The Houthis have stated that if Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar provide their airspace for an American attack, then these countries will be considered at war with Yemen. Qatar does host a US base. Saudi Arabia has brought its armed forces into a state of combat readiness for the Houthi have also made it clear that they would wipe out Saudi Aramco oil processing facilities. That would certainly send oil prices much higher. If that were to actually take place, crude oil could reach the $183 level by 2026.

The Houthi have warned that "If foreign forces consider attacking Yemen, our forces will open the gates of hell for Western forces in the Red Sea and the region, and neither Washington nor London will be able to extinguish it." Iran has sent its intelligence ship, the Behshad, from the Red Sea and is heading to the Gulf of Aden to provide information about the foreign attack on Yemen.

The scuttlebutt said that the Houthis had commenced a large-scale missile launch from numerous areas at multiple targets, which the Pentagon said they struck "drone manufacturing centers and weapons stores." The Houthi claim that they shot down an F22 fighter jet near its capital city of Sanaa. They also claim to have sunk the first American ship. These claims cannot be verified just yet.


The danger here is that there is NOBODY in Washington or London that has any interest in peace. Our respective leaders are itching for war with Russia. With the election coming up in March, it makes perfect sense that Putin will seek a major score. The people are coming to see that they are not at war with Ukraine but with NATO and the United States. Helping the Houthi to shut down world trade, and even make good on its threat to wipe out the Saudi capacity to deliver oil to the West would be a strategic position that makes sense given Biden trying to illegally take all of Russia's reserves and hand them to Zelensky.

 











The Air Force Looks to Old WWII Bases To Survive in the Pacific


Early this month, Gen. Kenneth Wilsbach, commander of U.S. Pacific Air Forces, confirmed that the airfield from which first atomic bomb drop was launched is being reclaimed.

North Field on the Island of Tinian, was the World War II airfield from which the famous B-29 Superfortress, Enola Gay, launched in its fateful mission to Hiroshima, Japan to drop Little Boy, the first operational atomic bomb.

The Air Force plans to return the defunct airfield to service to act as a dispersal and divert point for American aircraft targeted by China or other adversaries in the event of a conflict in the Pacific.




The US Share Markets Say It All

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG 


I have said many times that the Dow is the indicator of international capital movement. In contrast, the S&P500 tends to reflect domestic institutional investors and the NASDAQ Composite tracks retail investors. The prospects of war are understood among our major institutional clients, and we are witnessing capital inflows from both Asia and Europe, topped off by the Middle East. You can see that the Dow has made new highs and will close above last year's high. However, when we look at the S&P500, we have tested the 2022 high, but the market has yet to break through to new territory. The NASDAQ, with all the AI crazy, has been an inside trading year after the knee-jerk low of 2022. 


I am trying to teach you how to see the world as a whole rather than just following the typical nonsense of what the Fed will do tomorrow. This is CONFIRMING that I have to deal with so many clients around the globe. I must always see the world through their eyes and not from the standard propaganda of domestic analysis, as if the rest of the world does not matter. WAR is weighing heavily on the minds of many.


The United States is the AGRESSOR, and we have to realize that the Neocons are in complete control and the press spins nothing but propaganda rather than telling the people the truth, and thus, they are the cheerleaders of World War III. Victoria Nuland was out of power ONLY during Trump's Administration. That is why her husband Kagin wrote his "opinion" piece for the Washington Post, calling Trump a dictator. They fear a return of Trump will remove the Neocons and prevent their goal of World War III.


China's defense ministry on Thursday urged the Asia-Pacific to be on high alert as the United States steps up forward military deployment in the region after reports of a U.S. plan to revive a Pacific airfield that launched atomic bombings of Japan. Many US generals are publicly saying we will be going to war against China. What is this really for? Neither the average American nor Chinese or Russian have any interest in World War III. The people stand to gain NOTHING out of this. It is driven by the warmongers who cannot live peacefully in this world.



















Ukraine Nearing Defeat

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG


The pro-Ukrainians have been sending me hate mail claiming what I have put out is Russian propaganda. Well, just like Hunter Biden's Laptop from Hell, that too turned out not to be Russian Propaganda. Anything that was against their narrative they called Russian propaganda. 

My sources have been from inside Ukraine. From the very beginning, I warned that the West was using Ukraine as cannon fodder. I was told from the outset that (1) Zelensky's election was rigged by people who worked the election. (2) that Boris Johnson went to Kyiv NOT for support, but Zelensky had run for office promising peace. Dmitry Medvedev was hopeful when Zelensky won for his promises of peace and his processor was seen as the party of war.

Johnson was there to ensure the peace proposal from Russia would be rejected. Since then, 500,000 Ukrainians have died, and somewhere between 8 and 10 million have fled, with many having no intention to return. The West does not care about the Ukrainian dead. As Lindsey Graham said, it was the best money they spent to kill Russians.

This is the Economic Confidence Model in 8.6-month intervals for the Ukraine/Russia War. Right on the peak of the third wave, December 9th, 2023, the First Lady came out begging for more aid. No amount of money will save the day. Any shipment of arms will be used against our own people and flood the black market. Ukraine NEVER stood a chance of actually defeating Russia. The West never expected that. This was about killing Russians to weaken its economy and military for NATO to invade and take it over - nothing more.

With the Russian election in March and the swearing-in precisely on the turn in the ECM being May 7th, 2024, Russia will step up its attacks to secure a victory by March. The Neocons have full control of the White House, NATO, and most governments in Europe - especially Britain.  Dmitry Medvedev, the Deputy Chair of Russia's Security Council, said in a post on X, formerly Twitter, Biden's request to Congress to approve more aid for Ukraine amid its ongoing war with Russia only threatens World War III. Medvedev wrote: "Since the Cuban Missile Crisis, never has been the threat of direct confrontation between Russia and NATO, turning into WWIII, so real." He warned that the United States under the Neocons pushing for war will unleash World War III and the "blood will flow."


NOBODY in Washington or London wants peace. All they want is war to escape their debt crisis and reduce the population - the main goal of the WEF, UN, and Bill Gates. This is no joke, nor is it some wild conspiracy theory. They are attacking everything from fossil fuels, ending natural gas, terminating air conditioning, and trying to undermine our food production. Gates, I believe, has been brainwashed by his father and pretends to be a philanthropist when in fact everything he does looks to make a profit - just start with the vaccines.


We are in the final stages of Ukraine's defeat. Zelensky has destroyed his country not just for the promises of huge investments to rebuild, but he has been directed by the American Neocons in league with NATO to exploit Ukraine for their own goals. The mere fact that Ukraine blew up Nord Stream and Johnson instructed Zelensky not to sign any peace deal and to keep throwing Ukrainians at Russians until there are none left show just how demoralized the West has become all to distract everyone from the greatest Ponzi Scheme in history and the coming Sovereign Defaults. The timing for that appears to be the first/second quarter of 2025.


It is rare to find anyone in the mainstream Western press willing to report the truth. I was shocked to see the Telegraph. As they pointed out,  Ukraine’s counteroffensive was a complete failure. Zelensky would not listen to the military generals and kept throwing people at Russia in Bakhmut to no avail. He was desperate to win just to keep the money flowing. Without a victory, there will be no major rebuilding fund. Zelensky’s own words tried to put a different spin on the complete failure: The counteroffensive “did not achieve the desired results.” 

Russia has offered peace NUMEROUS times. The Neocons wanted World War III and refused to allow Ukraine to negotiate. They have sacrificed Ukraine, and now they are starting the same routine in the Baltics to get Russia to come to the rescue of Russian-speaking people there as well so they can justify war. Estonia outlawed speaking Russian, the same as Zelensky. With the Russian elections in March and the swearing-in of the day of the ECM on May 7th, 2023, there is likely to be a big push by Russia to win this war in early January. 


While the press is so biased and anti-Putin, all they report is such hatred and propaganda the truth is never given a chance to surface. Even the Economist, which I would never advertise in ever again, puts out the nonsense that Putin is a dictator. He has an 85% approval rating because of the Western Press, and every article spews nothing but hatred of Russia. If it were the other way around, our politicians WOULD HAVE 85% APPROVAL RATES INSTEAD OF SOUTH TO 40%. The West would react the same way as Russians today toward Putin. They are giving everyone in the West a very bad image of hating warmongers.

 


While Putin does have an 85% approval rating, it is hard to see how he would not win. But the computer is showing May as a major Directional Change and a target with the strongest turning point all year. This is an unusual pattern if Putin wins another election. My concerns would be he falls ills, dies, or is assassinated by Ukraine. My concern is that  Dmitry Medvedev, the Deputy Chair of Russia's Security Council, comes to power, and then you will see an all-out war. Ukraine is stupid enough to try to assassinate Putin, but perhaps they intend to replace Putin with someone aggressive to create World War III.


 

----------------------

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG

December is a Directional Change in Ethereum, and we are making a high, which warns we could see a 2-month correction into February, where we see volatility rising. Note that we have a March and May turning point with volatility rising after that, which is the turning point of the ECM - May 7th. That also happens to be the PRECISE day that the next president of Russia will be sworn in.


I cannot stress enough that Putin is a moderate. All of this bullshit painting him as evil and claiming since 1999 that he wanted to resurrect the Soviet Union was all Western propaganda by the Neocons and NATO, which I have seen internal documents where NATO was concerned about remaining relevant after 1991 and the fall of communism. All of this bashing of Russia truly destabilizes the world, and the Neocons want war ASAP, for they are now desperate, fearing a Trump victory. Their strategy is that (1) no president has ever lost during a time of war, and (2) if Trump does win and escapes their criminal charges and an inevitable assassination if they start a war in 2024, even Trump will be forced to defend the country.


I am concerned that we could see war during the summer of 2024, as I warned last year. This May 7th target is the strongest for the year. I really fear if Putin is replaced, the critics of Putin have been that he is TOO SOFT; he should have invaded Ukraine and not just protected the Donbas as the US did to Iraq using shock & awe, and the war would have ended in 6 weeks. Now they criticize Putin that Russia is NOT at war with Ukraine, but NATO. Putin's approval rating is now 85% - the Russian people fully understand the object of NATO is to invade Russia, and they will create any pretense to justify that. NATO has this agenda because we have a Sovereign Debt Crisis unfolding. After all, they will run out of fresh buyers for government debt to pay off the old days in this perpetual Ponzi Scheme. This is why NATO has a green light for war because they economically need a distraction.


Now, the Neocons are putting Estonia at risk of war. They have outlawed Russian as a language spoken in Estonia, which is a violation of human rights, and they are doing the very same thing that Zelensjy did to the Donbas - outlawed the Russian language and their religion. Estonia is now putting its own population in the way of cannon fodder, and the Neocons pray after making their traditional human sacrifices to their god of war, Mars, trying to force Russia to attack Estonia so NATO can declare all-out war.









ECM & Middle East War

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 22, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG

QUESTION: Marty, Your model on the Middle East from 1987 calling for a war in 2023.62 should be updated. Will the schism in Islam that resulted in the division between the Sunni and Shiite branches will continue to build into 2123?

It was a great conference—one of your best.

GHS

 

ANSWER: Yes. This is only the fourth wave in this cycle in Islam, which will not culminate until 2123. This is much like the confrontation between Protestants and Catholics in England that culminated in the beheading of King Charles I, simply because he was Catholic. Our model projected 2023 as the start of the Middle East War. Keep in mind, that we should see an increase post-2024 on a global scale.

















Biden Sends Letter to Begin the War Powers Act TUESDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG Biden has taken the first step in declaring World War III. On Friday, Biden wrote to Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson and Democratic Senate President Pro Tempore Patty Murray to fulfill the requirements of the War Powers Act that mandates presidents consult congressional leaders on military action. Letter to the Speaker of the House and President pro tempore of the Sena... The White House Dear Mr. Speaker: (Dear Madam President:) As I have reported previously, militia groups affiliated with Iran’s... In the letter, Biden named Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as being the mastermind behind attacks against U.S. military forces in Iraq and Syria. This has fulfilled his legal obligation, and now the Neocons are free to act arbitrarily. As we can see, 2023 was a Double Trading Cycle in Iran, and we expect nothing but rising volatility into 2025. This will not end well. The Neocons have LOST every single war they have instigated post-World War II. These people are just insane and have no problem sacrificing millions of lives for their goals, which are no longer even viable. They are playing their part in the decline and fall of the United States and Republican forms of government. Hopefully, we will learn from this mistake, and the reform that comes post-2032 must understand that Republics are the WORST form of government ever devised. -----------------------------------

musk betrays israel.

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Ottoman Empire Rising Again 2030 MONDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG I neglected to add that during a massive rally in Istanbul in support of Palestinians over the weekend, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan lamented the loss of the Ottoman Empire. He vowed that his country must "never allow new Gazas to emerge again." I have reported from EXCELLENT sources that he believes the Ottoman Empire should rise again and take over the Middle East. This seems to be in the cards, and I would look to 2030.

The Chaos of the Middle East MONDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG Konya Air Force Base, Turkey, US Air Force Boeing F-15E I swear, the Neocons only ever look at their end goal of defeating Russia and China because they were communists. I have come to the conclusion that since communism fell all by itself, these people are just angry because they never got to shoot a bullet. Neither China nor Russia are communist states. They both have their shares of billionaires, and their people are free to travel. When I was in DC back during the Reagan years, the Neocons did not want Reagan to meet with Gorbachev, and they were telling everyone you cannot trust a Russian. The Cold War against communism was transformed into racism and hatred that, is anyone else did, would be called a hate crime. Now, we are faced with a crisis that these clowns never think beyond one step because they cannot walk and chew gum at the same time. Since Turkey is a member of NATO, we have military bases there, troops on the ground, and nuclear weapons all pointed at Russia. Turkey was once the Byzantine Empire of Rome. It fell to the Turkish invasion in 1453. Then it emerged into the Ottoman Empire, and in 1683, they attempted to conquer Europe and laid siege to Vienna, which was the capital of Europe with the Holy Roman Empire. The dissolution of the Ottoman Empire began in 1908 and ended in 1922 with World War I. We are entering a period where old resentments will rise on a global scale and where old grudges will justify new action. The Neocons are idiots. If Turkey is compelled to enter the Israeli conflict, there is going to be a major crisis. Not only will this undermine NATO, but there are members of the EU already talking about expelling Turkey and Hungary, no less. We also have a major problem because the United States has bases in Turkey with nuclear weapons pointed at Russia. We also have aircraft on the ground, which, if they dare to use to support Israel, we are looking at a major political crisis. We also have troops on the ground in Turkey, including airmen and sailors. That election of May 2023 resulted in a victory for incumbent president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who had held the position since 2014. We saw 2023 as a serious shift in trend that should continue into 2025. It appears that by 2025, we are looking at the rise of the old Ottoman Empire, and this is by no means going to stabilize the Middle East. Neocons have been waging wars since World War II and saw themselves as the world's policemen. ------------------------------------------------


JEWISH MANHUNT IS HAPPENING IN DAGESTAN RIGHT NOW.

History repeating itself right now... Christians will be next 10/29/23.


Middle East Confrontation Expanding

MONDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG

The attack on Israel by Hamas was intended to create a new Middle East War. Our sources say Iran is at DEFCON 5 and even has their missile silos open. Israel ramped up its bombing of targets on three fronts, including a rare airstrike in the West Bank. An Israeli politician went over the top publicly warning Russia, saying: "We're gonna win this war. Afterwards, we're not forgetting what you're doing, we're not forgetting, we will come, we will make sure Ukraine wins. We will make sure that you pay the price for what you have done, you as Russia." Such statements may make one feel better but only ensure confrontation. Meanwhile, Lloyd Austin has announced that the US will direct additional air defense systems to the Middle East. This is a response to recent attacks on American soldiers in this region and the war between Israel and Hamas. Additional American soldiers are also "ready for deployment." Then, on CBS Face the Nation, Margaret Brennan outright asked Secretary of State Antony Blinken why the U.S. is not calling for a temporary cease-fire between Israel and the militant group Hamas in the midst of a deepening humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip. In response, Blinkin, a serious Neocon, said it was Israel’s right to defend itself. Meanwhile, Blinkin has deployed a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-ballistic missile battery and additional Patriot missile battalions to the eastern Mediterranean in response to "recent escalations" on the part of Iran and its proxies. Things have gotten so crazy that rumors claimed that Putin was walking with the nuclear briefcase in China, just in case. I cannot confirm those rumors. However, Russian sources claim that Putin has warned the White House den of Neocons that if the US expands the war in the Middle East region, he will protect Syria and Iran and will sink all of the US carriers sent into the region. Israeli media has reported that Iran's state television gave orders for a general attack on Israel. Shiite militias in Iraq, and Syria, along with Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthi rebels in Yemen, are all combining to launch a coordinated attack on Israel. They are said to have missiles and drones to create a siege of Israel with a range of 2,000 kilometers. The 2024 US Election should be honest - it is not Biden and Harris; it is really Blinkin and Nuland running the world.

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October 22, 2023


As I warned, the Neocons must start war BEFORE the 2024 election. They are counting on their playbook that no president has ever lost an election during the war. They were behind the Hamas event and allowed it to happen to justify a Middle East War. Our sources confirm that Iran is the #1 backer of Hamas, and Russia will be standing behind Iran. They are trying to draw Russia into a second war and further weaken them. The end goal here will be the excuse to launch a NATO strike at Russia after Ukraine and Israel, their vassal states, weaken Russia, and only then will NATO invade Russia, assuming Ukraine and Israel have weakened them to the point that they can be completely destroyed.

Note that May 2024 is when the next President of Russia will be sworn in. There is a Panic Cycle in July 2024, which will be a key turning point in Crude next year. So for now, we do not expect Crude to take off before 2024. Once again, talk that Putin has cancer could be the real crisis next year. Without Putin, who is a reasonable man despite the propaganda from Victoria Nuland's sister-in-law, my concern is that Russia will fall into the hands of one of their Neocons, and we will see nuclear war perhaps at least by 2027, if not beginning in 2025.














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